BANGKOK, July 13 - Although the prime minister selection process has now begun and the joint parliamentary meeting has nominated Mr Pita Limcharoenrat. is the only prime minister But there may still be a polar opposite to form a government. Look at the 4 scenarios formulated to form a government, namely: 1. The far-reaching government and the prime minister Phitha 2. The far-reaching government and the prime minister is not Phitha 3. Pushing far away as the opposition 4. Establish a minority government
The first vision that is still led by the Progressive Party to form a government with Phitha as Prime Minister Which now includes 312 votes from the 8 coalition parties, but has to subtract 1 vote from Mr. Wannor (because he is the chairman of the council, abstaining), leaving 311 votes, while the senator has 250. The latest vote, Senator Renu resigned, remaining 249 votes, resulting in a total of 749 votes in the two houses of parliament, so if Mr. Pita becomes prime minister, he must get 375 votes, he needs to find support for another 64 votes, which are the majority of senators.
Scenario 2: If Mr. Pita's support is insufficient, it is possible for the second-ranked party, Pheu Thai, to nominate a candidate for Prime Minister, which has 3 names, Ms. Patongtarn Chin. Wat, Mr. Srettha Thawisin and Mr. Chaikasem Nitisiri. This formula may not change much because the 8 parties are still very strong. And still need to find support for another 64 votes as well
Scene 3: This scene is very eye-catching. Because previously it was analyzed that Pheu Thai may change the pole to join hands with the original power, that is, the government of Gen. Prayut Chan-o-cha, which if you look at the numbers. Now Pheu Thai has 141 votes, the former ruling party has 188, 71 from Bhumjaithai, 40 from Palang Pracharat, 36 from Thai Sang Chat, 25 from Democrats, 10 from Chart Pattana, and 6 from smaller parties. Makes the combination of sounds easy to happen for Thai people, 141 plus 188, will get up to 329 votes, plus there are 249 important variable voices like senators who think they are ready to pour votes. which may have as many as 578 votes, the Prime Minister's vote will definitely pass with this formula which will cause the Progressive Party to be the opposition
Scene 4 with a minority government, namely the former ruling party, 188 votes to nominate the Prime Minister for the competition And it is possible that there will be enough support from senators as well. Which this formula must divide the votes of 187 more senators, but the establishment of a minority government, the future problem is the passage of important laws in the House of Representatives meeting. because of the opposition which is a step forward for Thai and other parties would be more than able to overturn the law. Makes the past through the original ruling party Often came out to deny that they would not form a minority government. because there will be problems in the future .-Thai News Agency
Source: Thai News Agency