Taipei: The Central Weather Administration (CWA) announced on Wednesday that a sea warning for Typhoon Bavi might be issued as early as Thursday, followed by a potential land warning from late Thursday night to early Friday morning, as the typhoon advances towards Taiwan. According to CWA forecaster Yeh Chih-chun, the typhoon remains strong and expansive, with a storm radius of 380 kilometers.
According to Focus Taiwan, Bavi is most likely to pass over waters off northeastern Taiwan. However, the island's rugged terrain could still influence the storm's path, potentially bringing it closer. As of 8 a.m. Wednesday, Typhoon Bavi was located approximately 1,490 kilometers east-southeast of Cape Eluanbi, Taiwan's southernmost tip, progressing westward before shifting to a west-northwest direction at 21 kilometers per hour.
The storm has been classified as a "super typhoon" by the United States military's Joint Typhoon Warning Center, with maximum sustained winds of 216 kph and gusts reaching up to 270 kph, as indicated by CWA data. Forecaster Yeh stated that Bavi is expected to maintain its intensity through Wednesday, with a gradual weakening anticipated starting Thursday. Nonetheless, it is predicted to impact Taiwan as either a "lower-end strong typhoon" or an "upper-end moderate typhoon."
If Bavi maintains its projected course, the CWA plans to issue a sea warning as early as Thursday, with a land warning potentially issued between late Thursday night and early Friday morning. The typhoon's outer circulation is forecasted to start affecting Taiwan on Thursday evening, resulting in increased rainfall in northern regions, including Taoyuan and areas northward, as well as Yilan County.
The most significant impact of the typhoon on Taiwan is expected from Friday evening through Saturday as it approaches the island. Heavy rainfall is anticipated in central and northern Taiwan, Yilan, and mountainous areas in Hualien and southern regions, with extremely heavy rainfall likely in the mountainous areas of northern Taiwan.
Yeh emphasized the importance of public preparedness, highlighting that Bavi's size and power could lead to substantial wind and rainfall, regardless of whether it continues in a northwestern direction.